Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-16 107.433295 122.976978 140.868682 163.191961 190.589884 223.507035 2.666491e+02
2025-03-23 88.240862 108.467610 134.214179 170.211302 220.637747 291.074622 4.014576e+02
2025-03-30 73.651565 94.447718 122.588728 164.895048 229.672777 330.469735 5.119186e+02
2025-04-06 65.539796 86.936557 117.365369 165.986856 246.455393 384.725842 6.699795e+02
2025-04-13 59.064537 80.471904 112.153433 165.386232 259.531513 436.274591 8.514160e+02
2025-04-20 55.651173 77.850400 112.038293 172.518580 287.264414 524.838232 1.175557e+03
2025-04-27 53.871778 77.364537 115.023029 185.280614 328.962159 660.975743 1.757434e+03
2025-05-04 49.836050 72.796568 110.580420 183.626328 340.945886 734.435569 2.238365e+03
2025-05-11 46.947915 69.744660 108.256738 185.458155 360.956480 839.295852 3.008334e+03
2025-05-18 43.737906 65.820961 103.890647 182.404229 368.787921 914.442414 3.799637e+03
2025-05-25 41.555025 63.421487 101.963739 184.002687 388.582242 1040.142964 5.234097e+03
2025-06-01 39.349487 60.775351 99.262961 183.456213 402.752198 1157.371207 7.079908e+03
2025-06-08 36.600055 57.137603 94.666625 178.844225 407.200224 1254.095734 9.463862e+03
2025-06-15 35.472195 56.328744 95.501201 187.021772 452.751563 1576.456507 1.830285e+04
2025-06-22 33.035725 52.906157 90.742875 180.993541 452.470388 1685.735856 2.586137e+04
2025-06-29 31.541963 51.101803 89.056422 182.232614 476.919024 1965.047442 4.917516e+04
2025-07-06 30.023860 49.121232 86.778772 181.551067 494.838459 2239.580917 9.906047e+04
2025-07-13 29.360304 48.711317 87.759279 189.651659 549.488451 2889.710903 4.782573e+05
2025-07-20 29.187213 49.231608 90.808191 204.184647 639.364980 4141.124938 2.875222e+08
2025-07-27 27.863769 47.356511 88.305541 202.298072 657.771160 4751.534875 NaN
2025-08-03 26.907599 46.150027 87.198704 204.387165 696.706575 5819.981227 NaN
2025-08-10 25.680783 44.305694 84.434569 200.904887 706.867499 6547.103982 NaN
2025-08-17 24.859047 43.241386 83.403916 202.727207 746.719672 8105.337630 NaN